National Weather Service Forecast for: Waynesville, NC Issued by: National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg/Greer, SC

Updated: 02/22/2025 3:13pm EST

Waynesville, NC

This Afternoon Partly Sunny Sunday Sunny Monday Sunny Tuesday Sunny Wednesday Mostly Sunny Thursday Chance Rain Showers then Chance Light Rain Friday Sunny   Hi 49 °F Hi 52 °F Hi 59 °F Hi 63 °F Hi 66 °F Hi 54 °F Hi 52 °F     Tonight Mostly Clear Sunday Night Partly Cloudy Monday Night Mostly Clear Tuesday Night Mostly Clear Wednesday Night Chance Rain Showers Thursday Night Chance Light Rain then Slight Chance Rain And Snow Showers Friday Night Mostly Clear   Lo 21 °F Lo 28 °F Lo 33 °F Lo 36 °F Lo 40 °F Lo 31 °F Lo 32 °F

 

This Afternoon	Partly sunny. High near 49, with temperatures falling to around 41 in the afternoon. West wind around 6 mph.
Tonight	Mostly clear, with a low around 21. West northwest wind around 3 mph.
Sunday	Sunny, with a high near 52. North northwest wind around 2 mph.
Sunday Night	Partly cloudy, with a low around 28. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Monday	Sunny, with a high near 59. West southwest wind around 3 mph.
Monday Night	Mostly clear, with a low around 33.
Tuesday	Sunny, with a high near 63.
Tuesday Night	Mostly clear, with a low around 36.
Wednesday	Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.
Wednesday Night	A chance of rain showers after 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday	A chance of rain showers before 1pm, then a chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 54. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night	A chance of rain before 7pm, then a chance of rain showers between 7pm and 3am, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers between 3am and 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday	Sunny, with a high near 52.
Friday Night	Mostly clear, with a low around 32.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Waynesville, NC.

NWS Area Forecast Discussion

 

214
FXUS62 KGSP 221918
AFDGSP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
218 PM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry high pressure remains through the weekend and into next week. A
warming trend begins this weekend that move temperatures back above
normal early next week. Next chance of rain is possible midweek next
week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 224 PM Saturday: Vis satellite imagery shows a rather
extensive deck of high-based stratocu associated with a dampening
short wave advancing quickly east, as seen on the water vapor
imagery over the TN Valley region. The leading edge was already
spreading across the mtns and this should continue to move east
for the remainder of the afternoon. This should not significantly
impact the high temp fcst. Won`t rule out a few sprinkles across
the nrn tier, but most of that will pass by just to our north.

The short wave will pass overhead early this evening and should
move off to the east quickly after sunset, with little more than
the cloudiness to show for it. The clouds should move away by
late evening, giving us another mostly clear night with light
winds. Expect that temps will not have much trouble dropping down
into the 20s once again as sfc high pressure moves back in from the
west behind the upper wave. Sunday should be another fair weather
day with the new high firmly in control. Temps should climb back up
to normal in the afternoon. Fire weather concerns should be tempered
by slightly higher dewpoints as a weak moisture return continues.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 140 PM EST Saturday: Amplified upper ridging across the
western CONUS will help to carve out a downstream shortwave trough
over the Gulf Coast as it will be in the process of shifting
into the eastern Gulf of America at the beginning portions of
the forecast period. The shortwave will traverse across the Gulf
Coast/southeastern CONUS Monday into Monday night before shifting
offshore over the western Atlantic by Tuesday. Deeper moisture and
overall QPF response continues to remain south of I-20 and should
keep the CFWA dry as weak high pressure remains in place to the
north/northeast. Broad cyclonic flow aloft is expected to settle
in over the northern half of the CONUS by Tuesday as a series of
embedded shortwaves resides in the base of the mean flow as a very
strong closed upper low pivots north of the Hudson Bay.

The first shortwave looks to move across the Upper Great Lakes
and northeastern CONUS Monday night into Tuesday. In clipper-like
fashion, QPF response will reside in the vicinity of the parent
low, but all model guidance keep any precip north of the CFWA. In
this case, the sensible weather for the western Carolinas and
northeast Georgia is forecasted to remain dry in a relatively
unsettled pattern to the north and south. Temperatures will be
on a warming trend Monday into Tuesday as highs Monday will be ~5
degrees above normal, while Tuesday may be the warmest day of the
week with temperatures 10-15 degrees above normal. Increased fire
danger may arrive early next week as dewpoints don`t change much,
but temperatures will increase leading to lower RH values and allow
for fuels to dry as well. Winds shouldn`t be factor as any gusts
that develop will be on the low end.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 215 PM EST Saturday: Another amplified upper ridge will
shift over the West Coast Wednesday, which will help to sharpen
the cyclonic flow aloft and create a longwave trough over the
Central Plains. The upper trough and an attendant frontal boundary
will shift eastward and encroach the region later Wednesday into
Thursday. Model guidance are in decent agreement with bringing
in our next chance for mentionable PoPs on Thursday as the cold
front swings across the area. The better forcing for ascent and
overall dynamics will reside to the north, closer to the parent
low. QPF response remains light as the front moves into a relatively
moisture-starved environment. Not much change in the airmass behind
the front as only a brief shot of height falls will be in store,
leading to temperatures being near-normal to end the workweek before
a gradual rebound occurs by D7 as weak upper troughiness remains
in place. Can`t rule out a few northwest flow snow showers behind
the front along the TN border, but little to no accumulation
is expected at this time. Temperatures are expected to be 5-10
degrees above normal Wednesday and Thursday before returning to
near-normal values by the end of the forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: VFR conditions prevail at all terminals
through the forecast period. Winds should be SW thru the early
evening, including a rare cross-wind at KAVL, as an upper wave moves
across the region. Satellite imagery shows a bkn/ovc cloud deck
with a base 060-080 moving in from the west, so most terminals will
have a high-based stratocu ceiling for several hours in the late
afternoon and evening. Once that moves out, expect only scattered
high clouds thru the end of the period. Wind will go light and
variable this evening.

Outlook: Dry high pressure lingers into early next week with
VFR conditions.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...CAC
NEAR TERM...PM
SHORT TERM...CAC
LONG TERM...CAC
AVIATION...PM

NWS GSP Office Area Forecast Discussion